Polls: Obama holds his lead in Iowa, Wisconsin - NBCNews.com [ournewsa.blogspot.com]
By NBC's Mark Murray, Senior Political Editor, NBC News
With fewer than three weeks until Election Day, new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls show President Barack Obama maintaining his lead over Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the battleground states of Iowa and Wisconsin.Â
A re-energized President Obama praises women supporters, taking aim at challenger Mitt Romney's debate remark about "binders full of women," while campaigning in Manchester, New Hampshire.
According to the polls â€" which were conducted from Monday through Wednesday, encompassing Tuesday’s presidential debate in New York and after â€" Obama receives the support of 51 percent of likely voters in Iowa to Romney’s 43 percent.Â
That eight-point margin is unchanged from the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll released last month (before the debate season began), when the president led his Republican opponent 50 percent to 42 percent.
Click here for poll results: Iowa | Wisconsin (.pdfs)
And in Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by six points among likely voters, 51 percent to 45 percent, which also is virtually unchanged from last month.Â
After two presidential debates, Marist pollster Lee Miringoff observes, the races in Iowa and Wisconsin are back to where they were in September. “There were two debates, but you can’t tell it from the numbers.â€
These two battleground states combined account for just 16 electoral votes in this presidential contest. But they play a large role in each campaign’s path to securing the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the White House.
If Obama wins both Iowa and Wisconsin, according to NBC’s latest battleground map, he could reach or surpass 270 electoral votes by either winning: 1) just Ohio; 2) a combination of Colorado, Nevada and New Hampshire; or 3) a combination New Hampshire and Virginia.
While the Obama campaign capitalizes on Mitt Romney's roundly criticized comments about women in Tuesday's debate, the Romney campaign is asking women the question at the heart of the election â€" are you better off than you were four years ago? Obama's Deputy Campaign Manager Stephanie Cutter discusses.
But if Romney wins one of Iowa and Wisconsin, he widens his own path to 270 and limits Obama’s.
Tuesday’s debate has little impact
The surveys suggest that the most recent presidential debate, at Hofstra University in New York, had little impact on voters’ preferences. In both states, a whopping 95 percent of likely voters say they made up their minds before the debate.
Also, in the day prior to the debate, Obama was ahead of Romney in Iowa by nine points among likely voters, 52 percent to 43 percent. The day after, the lead was eight points, 51 percent to 43 percent.
Similarly, Obama was ahead in Wisconsin by five points on the day before the debate, 50 percent to 45 percent; the day after it was 51 percent to 45 percent.
A 269/269 electoral tie could happen in the 2012 presidential election. If it did, how would we determine who would win the election? The Daily Rundown's Chuck Todd breaks down the 269 possibilities with the decision app and talks with NBC's Pete Williams about how the U.S. Supreme Court would determine the winner.
Breaking down the early vote
What especially seems to be helping Obama in Iowa is early voting. Thirty-four percent of likely voters in the poll say they have already cast their ballots, and the president is winning those people, 67 percent to 32 percent. Another 11 percent are planning to vote early, and he’s up among that group, 55 percent to 39 percent. But it’s reversed among Election Day voters: Romney is ahead, 54 percent to 39 percent.
In Wisconsin, just 15 percent say they have already voted or plan to vote early, and Obama leads among this group, 64 percent to 35 percent. Yet it’s even among Election Day voters, with Obama getting 48 percent and Romney at 47 percent.
Other findings in the polls:
- The gender gap persists in both states: Obama holds a double-digit lead with women in Iowa (57 percent to 38 percent) and Wisconsin (57 percent to 39 percent), while Romney leads among men by single digits.
- In both Iowa and Wisconsin, Obama’s job-approval rating among registered voters is at or near 50 percent among likely voters â€" 50 percent in Iowa and 49 percent in Wisconsin.
- In both states, Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating among registered voters improved from September â€" from 41 percent/47 percent to 46 percent/47 percent in Wisconsin, and from 40 percent/51 percent to 43 percent/51 percent in Iowa.
- Also improving are attitudes about the nation’s direction. In Iowa, 48 percent of likely voters say the country is headed in the right direction, which is up five points from September. In Wisconsin, 45 percent believe it’s headed on the right track, up six points.
- And in the competitive Senate contest in Wisconsin, the poll shows Democrat Tammy Baldwin leading Republican Tommy Thompson, 49 percent to 45 percent, among likely voters.
The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls were conducted Oct. 15-17. In Iowa, 1,137 likely voters were surveyed, and the margin of error is plus-minus 2.9 percentage points. And in Wisconsin, 1,013 likely voters were surveyed, and the margin of error is plus-minus 3.1 percentage points.
Also, the Iowa poll shows Democrats with a two-point party-identification advantage over Republicans; the 2008 exit poll had Democrats with a one-point edge. And the Wisconsin survey finds Democrats with a five-point advantage; in 2008, it was a Democratic six-point edge.
Suggest Polls: Obama holds his lead in Iowa, Wisconsin - NBCNews.com Topics Question by Scott S: What do you think about the quote, "Honesty is the best policy."? Best answer for What do you think about the quote, "Honesty is the best policy."?:
Answer by ms.legendary
It's not at all. Lying has gotten me in a lot of trouble but telling the truth has gotten me in a lot more. Sometimes you have to think whether knowing would actually help somebody or hinder them.
Answer by Pig Out
It is 100% correct. I have painfully proved it a number of times. It is not easy, but the end result is worth the effort. Truth every time, no matter how embarrassing or ugly it happens to be.
Answer by Mandy♥
It's not true! Honesty is not always the best policy. Sometimes a little white lie to spare someone's feelings, or a stray from the truth to make something right and keep people from getting hurt, is okay and even necessary.
Answer by Phantom
I'd change it to "Honesty is the best policy for a bad liar"
Answer by stingray
yes Honesty is the best policy. the reason is that you can feel good about your self when you cheat. deep down in your heart. (that is if you have one) you know that you did wrong
Answer by Q48x
Usually its a good value to live by. Sometimes some things are just better not said. Use common sense. Don't hurt anyone if you can avoid it.
Answer by just me
Yes always. But you don't have to be brutal about it.
Answer by Sy K
Honesty is the best policy & violence is the best solution
Answer by ψ ʃosh Aâ„"fred Φ
I think its simple. It's not just quote though, it can be transformed into conduct. For me the truth is solid ground, and deceit is like walking on water.
Answer by persianguardian
honesty can be good policy , because you will not need to spend lots of energy to continue pretending or hiding some thing, instead honesty will provide you peace of mind and will bring you to people you may really like and you will not have to live with your fake character.
Answer by Skepsikyma
I agree. "People think that a liar gains a victory over his victim. What I've learned is that a lie is an act of self-abdication, because one surrenders one's reality to the person to whom one lies, making that person one's master, condemning oneself from then on to faking the sort of reality which that person's view requires to be faked. And if one gains the immediate purpose of the lie - the price one pays is the destruction of that which was intended to serve. The man who lies to the world is the world's slave from then on." - Ayn Rand -
Answer by phil8656
It's good but, and this is a big but, not everybody deserves your honesty. Take, for instance, young children being questioned by strange adults. It took a long time to teach my child to be honest and not to lie, but to withhold the truth from those who have no right to it. Privacy is also a good policy.
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